Bayesian analysis of caustic-crossing microlensing events

Aims: Caustic-crossing binary-lens microlensing events are important anomalous events, because they may reveal an extrasolar planet companion orbiting the lens star. Fast and robust modelling methods are thus of prime interest to quickly conclude on the possible planetary nature of the event. Cassan (2008) introduced a new set of parameters to model binary-lens events, which are closely related to the features observed in the light curve. In this work, we explain how Bayesian priors can be added in this framework, and investigate on possible interesting choices. Methods: We develop a mathematical formulation that allows to compute analytically priors on the new parameters, given some prior knowledge on other physical quantities. We explicitely compute the priors for a number of interesting cases, and show how this can be implemented in a fully Bayesian, Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo algorithm. Results: Using Bayesian priors can speed up microlens fitting codes by reducing time spent on physically implausible models, and helps to discriminate among alternative models based on the physical plausibility of their parameters.
Paper Reference: 
Submitted to A&A - 7 pages, 4 figures
Paper Authors: 
A. Cassan, K. Horne, N. Kains, Y. Tsapras, P. Browne
Publication Date: 
27 November, 2009